
Cheers to 2025
Every New Year holds promise, as though it is any different from the turn of
“Your assumptions are your windows on the world. Scrub them off every once in a while, or the light wont come in” Isaac Asimov
A good many of us are guilty of making assumptions about almost everything. For every situation we face, we quickly deduce and make conclusions based on our preconceived ideas, past experiences or our fears or insecurities.
If you think deeply about it, you could easily make tons of excuses about it not been much of your fault because human beings are just naturally hard wired that way.
For some people making unfounded assumptions has become a really bad habit. The more they make assumptions, the easier it is to continue making them. To make matters even worse, taking actions based upon assumptions is a sure-fire way to ruining any sort of relationship with others.
Making assumptions simply means believing things are a certain way with little or no evidence to show you are correct.
Assumption comes from a place of poor communication and it’s absolutely easy to make assumptions.
It requires no particular intellectual skill. All the thoughts run through the head, then you string together half-truths colored by your perceptions, past experiences and deep seethed feelings before literally JUMPING into unfounded and unverified conclusions and then acting on it.

The Process
All that is needed for this is incomplete information about a situation and an unwillingness to ask the right or required questions needed to complete the information. In the absence of complete information, you start to fill in the blanks yourself.
To complete the process, you fill in the blanks with YOUR interpretation of what you see or hear. Your interpretation basically comes from your past experiences that appear to be similar and also from those you’ve heard about from others.
Armed with your half-baked information, you start to connect dots that aren’t there. You really can’t help doing this because you’re missing relevant information anyway. In trying to make sense of the situation, you make connections between today and the past. Connections that didn’t really exist and then finally you take the plunge and ACT based on this conclusions that are so WRONG.
Consequences
When it comes to human interactions, every individual brings their own experiences and background to the table to inform how they see things. It is almost always a mistake to assume that our way of seeing a situation is the only way to see it.
Our assumptions will either drown us or help us soar through life. It starts causing problems when we believe our way of interpreting a given situation is the only way to interpret that situation.
Furthermore, when we add judgment to our assumptions and begin labeling those who disagree with us, we invite conflict. Imagine being on the receiving end of an action based on “crazy” assumptions.
Making wrong assumptions will hinder anyone from taking responsibility for their life. It would allow you to hide behind your version of the story. This means you don’t own your part in the true story. You prefer to blame others for your misfortune, rather than look in the mirror.
The strong fabrics of relationships, friendships, marriages and other forms of human interaction have been badly destroyed by assuming that certain behaviors or attitudes suggest that a partner is cheating, lying, pretending or all sort of negative vibes. It eventually leads to undervaluing and underestimating relationships partners, colleagues and anyone else in an interpersonal context.
In the end, it is a toxic behaviour that fosters a negative mindset. Sometimes to protect ourselves from hurt, assumptions are used to lash out at others.
We make the assumptions irrespective of whether others tell us something or they don’t. We make assumptions to fulfill our need to know and to replace the need to communicate.
Even when we hear something and we don’t understand we make assumptions about what it means and then believe the assumptions. We make all sorts of assumptions because we don’t have the courage to ask questions possibly because we fear what the outcome would truly be.
The worst part of this is that it easily becomes a habit. A lot of people never snap out of doing this. They do it so often and they literally do not care about the consequences.
To be honest, people who make a lot of assumptions will misunderstand other people’s actions and motive very often. And this would lead to strained relationships whether in personal or business dealings.
They would also make errors in judgement and subsequent actions. For leaders this can be really disastrous. Decisions based on empirical data are easy to justify and even when the interpretation of the data leads to a wrong decision, lessons can be quickly learnt without damaging real relationships or businesses. But when based on assumptions, people will miss great opportunities to progress in life.
Do you have a friend who is stuck up in this habit?

Could this be a reason?
In this age where conversations have gone from verbal to mobile, it appears that we are gravitating to a “silent” generation where emojis, short forms, abbreviations and chats are replacing the need to communicate effectively.
The younger generations would opt for a chat on social media while wearing a stern face or a weary smile than an actual conversation where they get to open their buccal cavity to speak. Could we be having an explosion of dental related problems in the coming years? But I digress.
Is the new generation likely to become social misfits where with less need for actual conversations, assumptions will rent the space?
Perhaps we are at the age where social interaction becomes redefined forever into digital units where assumptions are defined as mathematical terms in emoji, gifs and signs?
If this doesn’t quite explain it, then could this be a sign of serious insecurity for the older generation?
Or just plain old mental and intellectual laziness?
What to do?
Assumptions are the foundation upon which interpretations and conclusion are built. Afterall everything in life operates under certain assumptions.
Now we are not talking about technical assumption and the scientific assumptions that allows us to process phenomena in our world. Neither are we talking about assumptions (other than an Economic Assumption), and the values ascribed to such assumptions, upon which each Projection or draft Projection and, in each case, the calculations and information therein are, or are to be, based.
We make these sort of assumptions because they are an efficient way to process the world. That even makes us super intelligent when you think about it.
But the assumptions in the spotlights in this post are the ones we make when we are not working with all the facts, and then base our decisions on what we think might be going on, not on what is actually going on. Here we rely on our perception, our paranoia and then project our fears and insecurity on the quality judgement and decisions we make.
How is this not the lowest, dumbest form of intelligence?
It requires the least intellectual effort from humans and in fact, there is no intelligence in it at all!
No wonder it is often irresponsibly expressed and acted upon with abandon. It rarely does good and often causes more harm than good.
ALWAYS ASK! It’s better to ask than assume!
Don’t make assumptions, find the courage to ask the right questions and to express what you really want. Communicate with others as clearly as you can to avoid misunderstandings, sadness and drama.
It’s just a lazy behaviour when instead of asking questions to get the information you need, you take the path of least resistance.
Because assumptions rely on old information to fill in blanks and connect dots. It will keep an individual stuck in the past. Living a lie. Assuming things deepens old pains. The more you pick at a sore, the more painful it gets. And it doesn’t get a chance to heal. Therefore, instead of expanding into new horizons, the individual will retreat into the past and wallow in poorly conceived ideas and thoughts.
So when in doubt, always ask questions! Go figure!

Because assumption comes naturally, we have to make conscious effort not to fall into the trap. Our mind works at a very fast pace and we have the responsibility to apply the brakes and be self-aware of what sort of decisions or judgement we make about situations around us. Even if they appear like ones we can painfully recollect from the past.
A lot of opportunities have been lost simply because we took the easy way out and turned ourselves into mainframe computers looking for dots to string and trends to analyze when by simply asking the right questions and getting more details or information we can reach a better state of judgement and make informed decision.
Always hold-out until you have all your facts. It’s difficult and against the run of events sometimes, but the consequences are far more damaging than the time it would take to wait for more information.
What do you think?
Drop a line in the comment section and I would gladly join in.
Cheers.

Every New Year holds promise, as though it is any different from the turn of

In an era that increasingly demands hyper-specialization, Akin Akingbogun stands out as a refreshing anomaly. He is a man who refuses to be confined to a single box.

There is a particular kind of silence that falls on a man when the phone stops ringing, the proposals go unanswered, and the diary that once groaned under the weight of appointments sits quietly — almost mockingly — open. If you have ever been there, you know it.

Let me tell you something uncomfortable: the most generous person you know — the one who volunteers every weekend, donates quietly, never asks for anything in return — is probably getting something out of it. Not money. Maybe not even recognition. But something.

Adaeze had been awake since 4 a.m.
Not because she was anxious — though she was — but because this trip felt different. After eighteen months of follow-ups, phone calls, and PowerPoint presentations polished to a mirror shine, the deal was finally ready to close. An investor meeting in Abuja. A partnership that would change the trajectory of her small but gutsy consulting firm. She had triple-checked her flight, her documents, her outfit. She had prayed. She was ready.

When he told his father, Dare’s first response was a sigh. Then: “I told you to practice more. I told you months ago. You don’t listen. You never listen.”
There was no “I’m sorry, son.” No pause to let the boy simply feel the loss of the thing he wanted. Just a swift, seamless pivot to what Temi had done wrong — and, by extension, how Temi’s failure was evidence of Temi’s failure to take his father’s wisdom seriously.

I want to tell you something that took me embarrassingly long to learn. Not because the idea is complicated — it is not. But because it cuts against something deeply wired in us, something we are rarely honest enough to admit.

You are somewhere between forty and fifty-five. You looked in the mirror recently and had a thought you immediately dismissed. Maybe you googled something at 2am that you would never say out loud. Maybe you bought something expensive and impractical and told everyone it was an investment. Or maybe you just feel — quietly, persistently — like the life you built was supposed to feel better than this by now.

Anton Chekhov was a Russian physician and playwright — a man trained in the discipline of diagnosis before he became one of the most precise storytellers in the history of world literature. That combination of sensibilities matters, because the principle he articulated in the late nineteenth century was not merely a rule of dramatic craft. It was an observation about the nature of significance itself. About what it means for something to be present. About the relationship between introduction and consequence.

There is a prison that has no concrete walls, no iron bars, no guards posted at the gate. Nobody built it for you. Nobody sentenced you to it. And yet, for many people, it is the place they spend the better part of their lives — circling its perimeter, brushing their fingers against its invisible boundaries, and quietly retreating each time they feel the edge of something that might require more of them than they believe they can give.

Picture a hand holding sand. The tighter the grip, the faster the grains escape between the fingers. Ease the grip — open the palm, allow the hand to become a vessel rather than a vice — and the sand stays. This is one of the oldest paradoxes of leadership, and one of the least learned: that control, pursued too aggressively, produces the very loss of control it was designed to prevent.

There is a version of ambition that builds. And there is a version of ambition that consumes. From a distance — and especially from inside it — they look almost identical. Both are energetic. Both are forward-moving. Both speak the language of vision and possibility. The difference only becomes visible later, usually at the point of fracture, when what was built begins to come apart under the weight of what was promised.

There is a particular kind of organisational absurdity that most people who have ever worked in a company will recognise immediately. It is the policy that was clearly designed by someone who has never had to implement it. The restructuring that looked elegant on a slide deck and chaotic on the ground. The customer-facing process that was overhauled by a committee that has not spoken to a customer in years. The directive that arrives from above, fully formed and non-negotiable, that causes the people closest to the work to exchange a look — the kind of look that says, without words: they have no idea what we actually do here.

We have built an entire mythology around exhaustion. In boardrooms and business culture — perhaps nowhere more so than in the high-pressure, always-on professional culture many of us inhabit — busyness has become a currency. To be tired is to be serious. To be overwhelmed is to be important. To be burning out, quietly, is somehow proof that you are fully committed.
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12 thoughts on “Assumption – the lowest form of Intelligence”
I am so guilty of this.,I guess mine is due to laziness. But would work on it. Thank you Duke , always illuminating reading your post!!!
Thank you so much.
Brilliant and timely!
Thanks buddie. Cheers
Great piece as always, this line really struck me: “Always hold-out until you have all your facts”. That is the recipe for diligent outcome to most endeavor. Boss, I have always admire your diligence, probably this was the secret.
Hahahaha.. There are no secrets bro. But knowledge is light.
It’s true wrong assumption have destroyed so many relationships.
It’s a common habit we all need to discourage.
Thanks for sharing.
Jumping into wrong conclusion based on unfounded assumptions and then acting on them has cost lots of relationships. Put on the brakes and get your facts first
So true,although I still struggle a few times but largely am able to wait to be sure and it’s paid off many times.
Thanks Duke
Thank you Damola. You are one person I know that is truly deliberate about how you do things. Kudos
You always add more positive thoughts of reasoning into one’s mindset. Thank you Big Boss.
Fantastic write up. I am guilty of this on the professional side, I will start working on my communication skill by asking questions.
But on the other side, I think assumption has also helped me to avoid offending people and to be at peace with them. For example I walk pass a colleague to say hello but he snobs me. If the circumstances were normal, I would never make that move again, but instead I give myself an excuse for my colleague’s actions by assuming he must have had a bad day.